Sunday, March 30, 2008

Why Hillary WHY

I think Nora Ephron sums up my attitude toward Hillary perfectly at this point. There was a time when i agonized over Obama or Hillary. Now, I just wanna "get on with it." Selfish selfish - but there you are.

But the point is that it doesn't matter why Hillary lied; what matters is that I'm hooked on Hillary and on the Rorschach process that defines my relationship with her: she does something, I spend far too much time thinking about it, I superimpose my life and my choices onto hers, I decide how I feel about what she's done, I bore friends witless with my theories, and then, instead of moving on, I'm confronted with yet another episode of her behavior and am forced to devote more hours to developing new theories about her behavior. I don't have time for this.

Monday, March 17, 2008

Economics Whys and Hows

This was a great post concerning our current financial mess in the US, so i thought i'd post the link up here

Quoted;

1.) The collateral crisis means that collateral on bank's balance sheets isn't performing as well as advertised. Basically, any bond backed by mortgages is in trouble because homeowners aren't paying their mortgages. That means banks who hold mortgages aren't getting the payments they should be getting. As a result, banks balance sheets -- which serve as the basis for their ability to extend credit -- are in serious trouble. That means...

2.) Anyone who might take out a loan might not pay it back. This is called counter-party risk. It simply means that everyone is at risk of defaulting on a loan right now. That means loans aren't getting made. In an economy like the US economy where credit is a prerequisite to everything, that is the kiss of death.

Friday, March 14, 2008

One Rule for the Rich...

I'm just spending the day thinking about the old saying "there's one rule for the rich and a rule for the rest of us."

Of course, that's probably not accurately quoted but I'm sure that the gist is alright.

Anyway, as our economy comes tumbling down we can expect to see a lot of this saying in action. If banks fail, or if ANY huge company fails, we can expect to see bail out following bail out. Which is understandable, if we don't want our entire economy to fall in, but to my mind it's a strong argument against letting so many folks get so huge at the expense of the rest of us.

If any of us reg'lar folk get into financial trouble, we hear; "you earned it." or "pull yourself up by your own bootstraps! Grow up!" or "You have to pay, but we'll work with you." If a huge enough corporation goes belly up it "Don't worry about it." or "Daddy's gonna make it better."

Friday, March 7, 2008

Primaries Over but Not Done

Well! I had meant to get back to posting here a lot sooner than I have.

I've been posting everywhere BUT here.. it' looks like,

Here's some of the posts that I've made concerning the primaries

1.
...
All this back and forth between our candidates has forced the Republicans to hold most of their fire. They can't attack either Obama or Clinton too fiercely til they know for sure which one will win. The long that goes on, the harder it is for McCain to gain national attention.

Considering McCain that might not be all that great since he's got so much negative history , too.. but meh :)

Whatever happens, I don't see tonight as a failure. What i saw all day were democrats out in force and doing their best to participate. That's just not bad news anyway one looks at it.

Today broke records and I'm thrilled to have seen it.

2.
I just got back from working my TX precinct. The turnout there was massive all day long and the caucus turnout was just as unreal as i predicted (60 ish percent went Obama and 30ish for clinton .too tired to remember the digits after... )

In the 7 years i've done this we've never had turnout like this.. especially for the caucuses. The MSM drove caucus participation this year as a third to half the voters coming in asked "what is it what is it.. do we get two votes???"

Of course we then set them right .. and amazingly most of them showed up at caucus time and elected delegates.

It was so heavy that at the end of the day we had the caucusers come in droves and they squeezed in around 6:45 even as voters were still voting. The atmosphere was beyond hectic for about 20 minutes there. TX precincts are so unused to the caucuses actually being heavily used that we don't have effective methods of organization for that many people showing up (out of apprx 220 voters for our 3 tiny precincts around 60 - 80 ppl showed up to our church hosting the election)

I'm dead certain that there will be widespread allegations of raucous caucusers and claims of dirty tricks .. not because anyone is being dirty but because the precincts were so unusualyl packed ..

However, once our doors were closed everything went by rather relative smoothly (and we do have small precincts). We had a person there who had a flare for organization and a very loud brassy voice.

3.
I'm working the election in my precinct in Ft Worth.

Here, at least, the voter turnout has been amazing. Non stop business.. and the Republicans on the other side of the building are looking downright lonely.

One good thing about all the hullabaloo over the TX caucuses is that most of the voters are asking to attend them now.Normally most people wouldn't have known about them or wouldn't have bothered. So, even though the MSM still really doesn't understand the TX process, they have really helped us pack the caucuses tonight.

It's going to be busy!

Welp. back to it!

....

This was reverse chronological order! So, the last post was the first I made.

Monday, March 3, 2008

Zen and Me

ON other personal news; I'm finally relaxing after a decade long bout with stress and depression. I've had tension in the muscles of my skull for the longest time that's finally giving way.

Endurance exercises and meditation (after the exercises take hold) - that's the ticket! Getting to know one self doesn't hurt at all, either.

TX Primary Tomorrow

No live blogging here

However! I will try to get back home from time to time (we're right next door to the church that's hosting our primary and caucus') to blog over how busy we've been .. or the stuff that's gone on during the day. All the mundane things that on any other day would be irrepressibly dull.

If you DON'T see me it's because we're slammed to the walls and it's very good news :)

Sunday, March 2, 2008

TX Primary Prediction

Obama will win the state.

I base that simply on the types of campaigns the two contenders are running. Hillary Clinton is running a more traditional campaign while Barack Obama is running what the pundits are calling "a bottom up" campaign that is, frankly, more populist and participatory than the Clinton's.

So here's the logic:

In TX so far (and yes! even in my home TX precinct) we have had record voter turn outs. The Republicans are coming out more heavily than they ever have..but even they are being quashed by the Dems by close to 3-1 margin (in my pct , at least)

Now, I believe Dem turnout would have been greater than Rep turnout this year in any event.. but the turn out is staggering.

Based on that fact, I have to give the advantage to the candidate with the greatest populist appeal. Yes, Clinton is running a populist message as well, but Obama is running a populist strategy than runs through the roots of his team and that plays to his strengths (he used to be a community organizer). So, everything being equal, and given the momentum Obama has gained, I have to give it to Obama.

Now to wait til Tuesday to see if I'm right